Resolves Yes if INPE reports the total Amazon basin active-fire count for July-October 2026 is strictly below the 2015-2024 mean for the same months. Resolves No otherwise.
Brazil INPE PRODES and BDQueimadas fire monitoring database (queimadas.dgi.inpe.br)
Outcome is assigned to exactly one published option, then reputation is updated.
The question, options, source, cutoff, and resolution criteria are visible before voting.
Verified humans submit one encrypted answer. Counts remain hidden until cutoff.
The resolver checks the named source-of-truth against the locked criteria.
Receipt lookup, resolution evidence, and topic reputation become publicly reviewable.
After cutoff, CivicSignal keeps the vote set sealed until resolution. When the named source answers the question, the outcome, resolver notes, and audit trail appear on the public resolution record.